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7 posts tagged with "Bond Market"
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"A tournament, a tournament, a tournament of lies.
Offer me solutions, offer me alternatives and I decline.
It's the end of the world as we know it and I feel fine.
(It's time I had some time alone.)"
- Lyrics from R.E.M., 1987
Flying last Tuesday, overnight from Cape Town in South Africa to...
The old mantra was that if the United States sneezed, the rest of the world would catch a cold, as the US was seen as the main driver of world growth. That was then. Economists and analysts began to argue that China and the developing markets were starting to provide a consumer base for the world....
With each new slice of economic data the past few weeks, the bond market decided that the economy was getting softer and the potential for the Fed to start cutting rates was growing. Rates have been drifting down for the past few weeks. And then came today's unemployment numbers. The...
Yesterday the Philadelphia Fed Business Economic Survey came in at the lowest level since the recession in 2001. Some argue that it is just one month's worth of data, and "...besides, it is Philadelphia. Those numbers are always quirky." And why pay attention to the Conference Board's Index of...
Where will Treasury rates go? What about inflation/deflation? The dollar? The stock markets? Gold? We cover all this and more in this week's letter.
I normally do an annual forecast at the beginning of each year. In conversations with a number of clients and readers, I've come to realize it...
Is this a critical time in the bond market or are we simply back to where we were a few months ago before the recent madness? If it was temporary insanity, what caused it? Why is the dollar rising? Why have the Japanese sold more foreign bonds in the past few weeks than in the past few years? Who...
When you are sailing, it is important to know where the wind is blowing. You have to change the position of your sails as the wind changes.
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